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Surely they couldn't build a 4K flying camera that fits in a cargo pocket....
Unless the Phantom 5 upsizes itself considerably, there is no way they're going to put a S35 interchangeable lens camera on it. You just can't cheat physics... and upsizing the sensor to that degree upsizes both the size of the camera as well as the glass. The X7's lenses are designed for S35 (if I remember correctly)... so that's what a S35 lens set would need to look like.
The Mavic Pro/Air were engineering problems... fitting a S35 sensor on an airframe the size of a Phantom is a physics problem.
Thats not what I'm saying. What I'm pointing out is that DJI has continually made some crazy ideas a reality. 5 or 7 years ago, I bet that if I said DJI will make a 4k capturing camera on a drone that fits in a cargo pocket of your shorts, I bet you your answer would be quite similar to the one above.
There have been some very small compact cameras with an APS-C sensor.
So while I don't think it is totally crazy impossible that DJI will stick an APS-C sensor in a future Phantom, I do feel it is VERY unlikely it will be in their next Phantom. Their next couple of Phantoms will most certainly have a 1" sensor (or maaaaaaaaaybe 4/3").
Find me something even remotely close in size and weight to the Phantom 4 Pro’s camera with a Super35 sensor.
Heck, find me a S35 camera that’s around the same size as a X5 for the Inspire. They simply don’t exist at that size and weight... and that takes an INSPIRE to get off the ground. Unless the Phantom grows up to 13-15” props it’s not going to easily lift an X5-sized camera... and that’s m43.
Also, the 1” sensor size in the P4Pro is considerably smaller than a 4/3 sensor... so upsizing to m43 in the Phantom line is also unlikely.
What about the x7?
The X7 is almost 30% heavier than the X5S before you factor in lenses. The DL lenses are about 55% heavier than the DJI 15mm lens that comes with the X5S in the kit. So that whole package is over 35% heavier than the X5S.
And remember... the X7/X5S are carried on the Inspire 2. A drone that uses 15" props and dual 4280mAh batteries to fly.
The X7 is also near the limit for a gimbal-mounted S35 camera. They stripped it down to the bare minimum and even made their own line of carbon fiber lenses (that lack all external controls to save weight) to get it done.
So, you're telling me there's any chance at all they get the X7 (or even X5S) downsized far enough to fit on a PHANTOM? The Phantom's camera is an order of magnitude smaller than even the X5S. The airframe would have to be upsized considerably (probably to Inspire 2 range) to be able to carry a m43 or S35 sensor camera with any kind of usable battery life.
This isn't even taking into account the business side. They'd never cannibalize their Inspire 2/X7 package with a Phantom... especially less than a year since they started shipping the X7.
Here's what I've heard.
No new drones at NAB. Phantom series will never have interchangeable lenses or have RAW. They don't want to cut into Inspire sales. X5 X7 lenses were co developed with Hasselblad but manufactured in Japan. X7 Osmo will be released soon. The X5R is essentially the GH4 sensor.
Also, the X7 is pretty amazing from an engineering standpoint... but image-wise, I haven't seen nearly the improvement I'd need to see to invest in one myself (I've rented one).
The X5 and the X5S are vastly different cameras. I’d never compare ProRes or CDNG out of an X5S or X7 with the X5 or even the X5R. CineCore was a pretty big step up. Look at the specs... the X7 offers about a stop to stop and a half more DR and about two stops better low light (which is then mostly eaten back up because the DL lenses are all a stop to a stop and a half SLOWER than the m43 stuff for the X5S.
Also, this is DJI... they had no reason to charge for the Inspire 2 licenses... except to make more money. I’d be floored if the Osmo handle doesn’t require licensing (or have it included at a sky high price).
I also think you’re vastly overestimating the image quality of the X7. I’d take nearly any decent full size camera over DJI gear if I could. Their image processing is still worlds away from even prosumer gear from Canon and Sony (or Blackmagic, etc.). Look at what DJI cameras do to green foliage for a good example. Their gear is great for drone stuff, but on the ground I’d never choose their stuff if I had a choice.
The Osmo is a great camera for a quick setup gimbal shot... but do you really think DPs are going to be happy with four f/2.8 lenses without focus rings as their entire lens selection?
I’ve heard the whole “drone and Osmo are going to replace traditional camera” thing since at least the original X5. It was hogwash then, it’s hogwash now.