February 1st, 2006

I'm J. Barnes (insert self-ascribed job title here), and here's what I believe:
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I believe on January 1st, 2006...

1. I will still dislike how faceless people to try and swing their balls around online in an effort to impress other faceless people through some implied sense of exclusive personal or technical knowledge. This dislike will also extend to the random jerks from the aforementioned category that put forth undue effort in an attempt to discredit opinions instead of facts.

2. I will still find myself personally revolted when people use the acronym "LOL" several times in a paragraph where they are not expressing implied or explicit humor.

3. I will still not know for certain what the future holds, and thus I will probably not have invested in any emerging technology before the marketplace has tested and proven it viable. Because of this uncertainty, I will be renting the dominant camera of the moment, utilizing it only for the time I need it and thus greatly reducing the impact upon the finances of my family.

4. I will probably begin dropping hints with my new bride as to my eventual desire to purchase a High Definition television. I will not begin dropping hints that I would like to purchase a high definition camcorder.

5. I will likely find myself advising governmental agencies as to the current and eventual impact of High Definition video production, post production and VTC solutions...however, it is very likely that I will advise against a significant investment.

6. I will probably begin reading reports of improvements in layered LCD displays capable of wide-angle 3D presentation. The reports will probably soon begin another round of faceless internet punditry, aimed at declaring HD dead as a consumer standard in favor of 3D content delivered through a variety of competing codecs.

7. I will probably have more technical knowledge of upcoming video standards and technologies, yet I will still think of filmmaking in terms of stories rather then technologies.

8. Due to the intervention of my mother and new bride, I will still not have a motorcycle.

END PREDICTIONS
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What I know today: (living in Europe mind you)

1) CRT TVs in stores are 99.9% widescreen (leaving a lil' bit of room for margin of error...). Most, if not all of these are SD.

2) Walk into any relevant department store/Tv store today and flat pannel displays are or have already taken over majority of shelf/floor space. ALL of these are progressive displays (PLasma, LCD even projectors are). 99% (might be a slight exageration but thereabouts) of these are NOT High definition displays (even though they do say they are "HDTV Ready") and will not display at high def resolutions natively....but they are progressive that's for sure...I personally think that the average joe going in to buy any of these thinks he is buying a high def TV but anyway...

3) Media is converging. Internet/tv/playstation/gaming/"checking out your holiday snaps on your latest digicam" etc will be/is being displayed on the same display in homes (whether at the PC or in front of your sofa)....on progressive displays...


It would seem that by this time next year, the consumer world will be even more "progressive" than it is today..."Think tomorrow, be progressive"...there you go, that's my sales line...
 
I have a really old Yamaha 250 dirt bike that doesn't run. You can have it, J_Barnes.

The only problem you have to go to California to get it.
 
Zig_Zigman said:
I believe Shannon Rawls has too much internet time on his hands...hey bro, I thought you were out shooting?.
Click to expand...

I do have too much internet time on my hands. Epecially considering I have 6 internet business that make a good deal of money. Visit www.RawlsEnterprises.com. *smile*

Also...I am a PRODUCER. WHich means even when I am at home...I AM out shooting. Call times for crew don't apply to me unless I want it to. Visit www.BeOut.com for more details. (or www.BeOutPictures.com for a direct link)

Not to mention, My Vaio Laptop stays with me at all times. Like a gunslinger and his Colt. I have too much to do, too many reports to run, to many emails to respond to, to not have it with me. And in between that...I visit wonderful sies like DVXUSER.com. Therefore, I am on the internet everywhere I go (thanks to my Sprint PCS wireless PCMCIA Card)

- ShannonRawls.com
 
Just caught the tail end of the Shannon Rawls back and forth. He has a very nice website and alot of stuff completed but I could not find even one trailer, commercial or moving image to demonstrate his production talent that he clearly must have. Shannon please show us your work. Time for a nap.
 
John_Hudson is following me in here.

Shannon <-- Heterosexual & Married

Sorry John.

_______________________________________

crazyczech....yea, I hate trailers. Is my production talent on trial here? I thought we were talking about how much time I have on my hands? you're in Santa Monica, CA. let's do soemthing together. Do you have a movie idea that you would like to do or have produced that requires you to see a reel? email me your mailing address, and I'll send you a dvd or two.

As a matter of fact.... your very own BRETT_ERSKINE, a proud member of DVXUSER.COM has DP'd arguable the best lit movie I have ever Produced. he is an innovator in camera imagery and lighting and hands down the best DP I have worked with. I hope to work with him on a bigger budget project. His movie that I produced and unfortunately directed will be finished next thursday. I'll send you a copy. How's that?

John---> *smile*

- ShannonRawls.com
 
I believe that with the introduction of the HVX200, my other predictions just came true, or at least look a lot more likely.

I believe that the battle between 720p and 1080i just became completely irrelevant, with the introduction of 1080/24p and 1080/30p and 1080/60i and 720/24p and 720/30p and 720/60p all in the same camera.

I believe that my prior statement of "the FX1/Z1 will be rendered irrelevant for filmmaking purposes on April 18, 2005" needs to be modified. The FX1/Z1 just became irrelevant for filmmaking purposes on March 31, 2005.

I believe that anyone trying to use some CineFrame field-blending mishmash on 4:2:0 pixel-shifted interlaced footage, all in an attempt to try to simulate 24P, would be much better served to just shoot genuine 1080/24p at 4:2:2 color sampling.

I believe I cannot wait until April 18, 2005 to see this bad boy.
 
I believe as much as I say I can't and won't be in the market for a new camera am going to be pissed off when i see this new thing. If I'm lucky, maybe David Jimerson will get one and then when I get to Wilmington, NC I'll just use his.
 
John_Hudson said:
I believe as much as I say I can't and won't be in the market for a new camera am going to be pissed off when i see this new thing. If I'm lucky, maybe David Jimerson will get one and then when I get to Wilmington, NC I'll just use his.
Click to expand...

I think the timing will be about right on that, John. Freeloader!
 
Barry_Green said:
I believe that with the introduction of the HVX200, my other predictions just came true, or at least look a lot more likely.

I believe that the battle between 720p and 1080i just became completely irrelevant, with the introduction of 1080/24p and 1080/30p and 1080/60i and 720/24p and 720/30p and 720/60p all in the same camera.

I believe that my prior statement of "the FX1/Z1 will be rendered irrelevant for filmmaking purposes on April 18, 2005" needs to be modified. The FX1/Z1 just became irrelevant for filmmaking purposes on March 31, 2005.

I believe that anyone trying to use some CineFrame field-blending mishmash on 4:2:0 pixel-shifted interlaced footage, all in an attempt to try to simulate 24P, would be much better served to just shoot genuine 1080/24p at 4:2:2 color sampling.

I believe I cannot wait until April 18, 2005 to see this bad boy.
Click to expand...

Right on, Barry!

What's that noise? Oh! I guess its the noise of the Z1 sales plummeting, or should I say crash landing on a very hard surface.
 
I believe that the battle between 720p and 1080i never was relevant.
I believe only 18% of all of you can buy the new HVX200 in 2005.
I believe it wasn't too bad to buy the FX1 and Z1 later because they made the money to buy 2 HVX if the prize is not more than 12 000,- each.
I believe I gonna trade in my DVX100AE, Sony PD150P, Sony FX1 and going to get one of the upcomming JVC or HVX camcorder.
I also believe the Z1 going to make more money before I trade it in.
I believe if you wait 10 years more than you can shoot a superHD wide movie with your cellphone.
I believe the HVX200 going to be a new high hardcore camcorder if ....
I believe most that it doesn't metter what I believe if I can make money with the electronic I can get.
 
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