Coronavirus Impact III
- Thread starter Eric Coughlin
- Start date
Barry_Green
Moderator
Cute.
Thank you for this opportunity to help determine who is here to partake of the primary purpose of this forum, and those who think the rules don't apply to them.
Thank you for this opportunity to help determine who is here to partake of the primary purpose of this forum, and those who think the rules don't apply to them.
Eric Coughlin
Veteran
That explains why I'm single.
Run&Gun
Veteran
Whoever downvoted that has absolutely no sense of humor whatsoever! :laugh::laugh::laugh:
:laugh:
ahalpert
Major Contributor
Nypost: "Signs of NYC’s 2021 comeback are everywhere you look"
https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost...cs-2021-comeback-are-everywhere-you-look/amp/
This jibes with what I've seen. All my producers and sound mixers etc are boasting about the hot deals they've landed on apartments during the pandemic.
I think the richies will come back too, once the virus is beat and they're tired of cycling through the same 10 restaurants wherever they live now.
Amazon and Google, 2 of the biggest winners of the pandemic economy, have been gobbling up office space in Manhattan because they know remote work will wane in the future.
Most of the people gleefully predicting NYC's death just disliked it in the first place. No matter. Leaves more money for me to make
https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost...cs-2021-comeback-are-everywhere-you-look/amp/
This jibes with what I've seen. All my producers and sound mixers etc are boasting about the hot deals they've landed on apartments during the pandemic.
I think the richies will come back too, once the virus is beat and they're tired of cycling through the same 10 restaurants wherever they live now.
Amazon and Google, 2 of the biggest winners of the pandemic economy, have been gobbling up office space in Manhattan because they know remote work will wane in the future.
Most of the people gleefully predicting NYC's death just disliked it in the first place. No matter. Leaves more money for me to make
I hope that’s true for N.Y.. I certainly am not amused by some folks gleeful predictions of its demise. Once artists and non conventional folks and paycheck to paycheck plus are priced out , most of what made places great are severely diminished. Once Austin lost cheap pints, cheap rent but more importantly people of all economic situations lost the ability to breathe it lost what’s special. You could always walk down the streets of Austin and say hi to strangers and many times have a conversation. I hope all cities become vibrant and soulful and liveable in the future.
ahalpert
Major Contributor
Oddly, the artists and nonconventional folks have long outlasted cheap rent in NYC. My first apartment was in Greenwich Village and I was subletting a room from a guy who had been there since like 1972. It was rent controlled and cost like $400/month. At market rates it would be 2500 or 3000 or more.
Artists these days are just pushing out further and further into the outer boroughs and taking on more and more roommates. But NYC has a lot of opportunities you cant get elsewhere, even in some other cities.
The pandemic will actually help rebalance the equation to make rent more affordable, at least for now. A conversion of some office towers into residential wouldn't hurt either.
It's also possible that millennials will emigrate to the suburbs once they start having children and alleviate the housing pressure that way. That's what happened to my wife and me even though we fit in much better in the boroughs
Artists these days are just pushing out further and further into the outer boroughs and taking on more and more roommates. But NYC has a lot of opportunities you cant get elsewhere, even in some other cities.
The pandemic will actually help rebalance the equation to make rent more affordable, at least for now. A conversion of some office towers into residential wouldn't hurt either.
It's also possible that millennials will emigrate to the suburbs once they start having children and alleviate the housing pressure that way. That's what happened to my wife and me even though we fit in much better in the boroughs
NorBro
Major Contributor
I hope it's small or non-existent but my thoughts include what I said a few months ago in II:
___
Numbers are probably still coming...it's only 4 days after Christmas.
___
Numbers are probably still coming...it's only 4 days after Christmas.
Friends of friends are going to a (semi-orthodox) Jewish wedding. Except the wedding ceremonies are prohibited in California. They do decide to take Covid tests prior to the event. The tests are not free and are paid for by bride's family (they have money). So, after taking them, the lady friend (of friends) in question is told by the clinic, "We will send the results to the people who paid for it". She's a lawyer. So she says to the clinic, "No effin' way. My medical records are private. Don't even think about this". So, they had to give them only to her. She says she'll inform the organizers of the wedding. Which is still prohibited.
Liam Hall
Veteran
I find that perplexing. Certainly, here in the UK, we are already seeing a post-Christmas spike. It could be people are taking mask wering and social distancing seriously in the US, it could also be under-reporting. If you look at excess mortality, it is spiking above 455,000 for this year, way above official US figures for COVID. Something's not right.
ahalpert
Major Contributor
Supposedly there wasn't too much travel in the US during Thanksgiving. Christmas seems to be another story. and there are rumors of big illicit new year's eve parties in the works.
Re:vaccines -
We're at like 2 million vaccinations in the US rn. No way we hit 20 million by year's end
Re:vaccines -
We're at like 2 million vaccinations in the US rn. No way we hit 20 million by year's end
Liam Hall
Veteran
Vaccine delivery should ramp up when the Oxford/Astra Zeneca vaccine gets approved. It's the only one that will make a significant impact. We're expecting that to happen later this week in the UK with delivery from next Monday. If the Government don't screw up distribution they should be able to vaccinate 2 million people a week so we'll have all the vulnerable and over 50s done by Spring and effective herd immunity by summer.
Liam Hall
Veteran
It's claimed to be 95% effective with the way the two doses are now to be administered (disclaimer - they are a client of mine and no, I haven't read the data). The flu vaccine is less than 70%, so it would still a viable vaccine at that level
ahalpert
Major Contributor
The whole thing is a bit wackadoodle since the 95% effective method was an accident. at any rate, it seems that the sample size for the more effect dosage was too small to make a firm conclusion.
The other wrinkle is that Fauci now says we need as much as 90% population immunity to achieve herd immunity. (Which begs the question- was he lying to us before or is he lying to us now...)
I'm unclear on if that means he wants 90% to get vaccinated with a 70% effective vaccine. Or if we need 90% to actually be immune. If it's the latter, then we cant get there with a 70% effective vaccine
The other wrinkle is that Fauci now says we need as much as 90% population immunity to achieve herd immunity. (Which begs the question- was he lying to us before or is he lying to us now...)
I'm unclear on if that means he wants 90% to get vaccinated with a 70% effective vaccine. Or if we need 90% to actually be immune. If it's the latter, then we cant get there with a 70% effective vaccine