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Regardless, it shouldn't be a tough decision: shoot the one that has the most potential to sale for what you can produce.
I think this is an incredibly silly question to be asking. It's not like there's any clear cut path to directing movies with $100m+ budgets, so your only real hope is to work on projects you're passionate about and hope you get lucky enough for someone to notice you (assuming you're any good, and frankly, someone who's asking what genre his first feature should be based on what he can sell probably isnt).
I think it's a valid question, one of many that a diligent aspiring filmmaker would be well to pay reasonable attention to. Ignoring potentially important data, when available, doesn't seem particularly astute at all. I like the old saying here, where learning a new, and particularly a complex, field is concerned: "there is no such thing as a stupid question". I also like, especially as it applies to the almost uniquely diverse craft of filmmaking, another one: "everything matters".
I think it's highly inadvisable to scold or deride a person for seeking general knowledge, especially a young and/or inexperienced one.
Sure, but unless he's one of the most gifted directors of our generation, he's never going to get anywhere just directing projects that are made for no other reason than to hopefully impress someone with money (OK, thats the goal of all indie film, but I'd like to believe that most small filmmakers know that odds are that will never happen and they're happy just having the opportunity to make a film at all) and if he is one of the most gifted directors of our generation, then he can make whatever he feels passionate it about, it'll blow everyone away at sundance, and he'll get an ungodly budget for his next feature.
Sure, but unless he's one of the most gifted directors of our generation, he's never going to get anywhere just directing projects that are made for no other reason than to hopefully impress someone with money (OK, thats the goal of all indie film, but I'd like to believe that most small filmmakers know that odds are that will never happen and they're happy just having the opportunity to make a film at all) and if he is one of the most gifted directors of our generation, then he can make whatever he feels passionate it about, it'll blow everyone away at sundance, and he'll get an ungodly budget for his next feature.
Wow, discussion about genre with low budget and no name actors for the first feature turned into "what is best genre for getting money back when you have A class actors and big budgets"
What is not popular? Maybe some sci-fi with big spaceships like Star Wars? And no one cares about Vietnam war. Maybe for the indie it is easier to stand out when he is doing not the mainstream?
I think this is pretty much on point, although I'd add that it should be a film that the filmmaker genuinely believe in and *wants* to make for artistic reasons as well. The convergence of a genuine artistic voice with solid commerce sensibility is what's behind almost every great creative success story.
I don't by any means mean to suggest that you were advocating it, but an overly commerce-oriented approach tends all too often to produce cookie-cutter, least-common-denominator crap. And tends as well to be what's behind the misguided thinking that rejects funding for something like Star Wars, which every Hollywood bean-counter brushed off back in the day because sci-fi films hadn't done well in the recent history of the time. So Lucas funded it himself, as I understand it, from the earning from American Grafitti. In inflation adjusted dollars, SW is still the second highest grossing film of all time, far beyond Avatar and Titanic. (Gone With The Wind is still #1.)
But I digress...
as Wiliam Goldman says in his book Adventures in the Screen Trade, "the single most important fact, perhaps, of the entire movie industry is that nobody knows anything
...and not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for certainty what's going to work
I think I am also guilty of cookie cutting it on Superseeds, and the only thing that may save thE features ass is a low budget. Because of that I was forced to do things differently on camera and the product is much stronger than what was written.
I also always want to call you TedSpencer. With no break In between. It sounds cool.
Sorry to chime in,
I don't think anyone should relegate themselves to doing anything that is not currently selling, or that a market won't bear. There are established names that have trouble selling ideas or getting budgets to make their films and they have Oscars and Globes. Let us not forget that this is a business... The path to big budgets is paved with returns on investments and projects with propensity towards profits (ugh, alliteration).
Of course you have to be personally invested in the project, but no one with money cares about a wonderful genre story that everyone in the cast and crew believed in that was made on a sub 100k budget and has made 5k in 18 months. They do, however, care about a 15k film that set a box office record for a weekend during limited release, or created such a buzz that there was a bidding war for it.
Make no mistake, the key to the big house is profitability, and profitability is found in a melange of style, substance, execution, and intent, and not just in genre which literally becomes the envelope in which you story is delivered. OP, find out what genres and trending, are at critical mass, and are growing in popularity, and begin your search there; then craft your story around intention and obstacle which will then give birth to themes that will then lead eventually to genre, IMHO.
It's wrong. Period. There - I said it. (re: Goldman's 'no one really knows' rule...)
To wit:
Martin Scorsese has directed many, many feature films, virtually all of which have been well received critically and commercially. A quick, lightly selective countup of his IMDB Director credits resulted in *seventeen* major, highly acclaimed, highly successful features, beginning in 1973 with "Mean Streets" and ending in 2010 with "Shutter Island".