But something like RAW where you can to some extent change recording parameters after the fact would probably be a big enough incentive. That would probably "obsolete" your recorder, though it wouldn't change the fact that you could still do great recordings. DAT is still a very acceptable recording quality, but you can't get tapes anymore, at least not reasonably available. So if some better storage comes along and everyone jumps on, what will kill your recorder is not that it doesn't sound up to snuff but that you can't find cards for it any more. Try finding a RLL hard drive these days...
Interesting idea! I'm trying to wrap my brain around what an audio equivalent of RAW might be, and how it would work. Gonna need another cup of coffee.
For storage, it seems that SD is taking over for most things, aside from high-end cameras with proprietary storage media. As SD read/write speeds and storage limits increase, and the prices keep falling, they seem to be flooding in as a standard. Now, will that last? Who knows? Assuming that SD is here to stay would be like your reminiscence of DAT: never assume. But It seems to be the thing for now, and it keeps improving in ways that a format like DAT couldn't.
What I'd be most worried about right now would be wireless. As more of the spectrum faces sell-off and privatization, more of the units many of us own are threatened by outlawed operation. Bluetooth and WiFi digital systems are finally coming into their own, with a quite a way to go yet, but as users increase, just how much saturation can one venue handle?