cheezweezl
Veteran
i don't think we need to run out and sell our HD gear just yet...
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This is why Canon missed the boat to me on the C300 no matter how good the picture is. 4k sooner than later it seems.
Again 1k TV is here and the leap to 4k will be easy.
Proof will be in the pudding. Again technology takes leaps once its in place and made appealing to the masses it takes off. Consumers always want the newest and the fastest especially when it comes to what their neighbors have. Your thinking like a camera techie, not a consuming american. So yeah i'm crazy (like a fox), but i've also been an affiliate marketer for years and my business is based off of people buying stuff they don't need. I have an HDTV with probably only 30 available HD channels out of 150, did that stop me from buying one?The first and only place 4k viewable should hit is computer desktop technology. Just how many computer monitors are not even 3K yet? Also, price out a 60 inch 4k monitor. You're crazy if you think 4K will be mass consumer in 12 months, much less 24 or more.
... Come back to this thread a year from now and i'll edit this post to simple say I told you so.
Proof will be in the pudding. Again technology takes leaps once its in place and made appealing to the masses it takes off. Consumers always want the newest and the fastest especially when it comes to what their neighbors have. Your thinking like a camera techie, not a consuming american. So yeah i'm crazy (like a fox), but i've also been an affiliate marketer for years and my business is based off of people buying stuff they don't need. I have an HDTV with probably only 30 available HD channels out of 150, did that stop me from buying one?
How do you figure it to be slow? Not being snarky but an honest question. I would sat it was slow but I haven't been to a persons home that doesn't have an HDTV. I really cannot remember the last time I visited a friend and sat in their family room and looked at a big ole' heavy 37" tv.Considering the relative slowness with which HDTV has been adopted in homes, I don't think you can make these conclusions.
Especially when you consider that not too may people are going to want to re-buy a TV so quickly, without obvious and immediate benefit. People in general simply are not resolution junkies.
In a year, the consumer penetration of 4K TVs will be slight, a statistical blip.
Your on Hidef1080 and when I win we'll do lunch and one of the several fabulous restaurants in the ATLSounds like a friendly wager of which I'd take a piece of the action.
A year from now we'll still be an HDTV world and fighting about 4.2.0 and 4.2.2. and 10 bit vs 8.
I do agree with your points on people always wanting bigger and "better" but when people fail to see a big difference in HD vs 4k the sell will be hard.
Maybe in 6 years maybe but I don't see it in the near future.
Maybe in the UK Dave, but here in the good ole US you can see an Iphone 4S stuck to the head of the poorest of the poor in any hood USA. It's what we do here consume to a fault. I was behind a kid at MicroCenter who was buying a $600 video card. I'm thinking man that would be great for my editing rig CUDA acceleration and all, he's upgrading probably from the last model to frag people on line. Do you think the new card offered that much improvement? And for crying out loud where does a 15 year old get $600 bucks for a video card?But yeah, food, warmth, and housing rate a heck of a lot higher than even HD
How do you figure it to be slow? Not being snarky but an honest question. I would sat it was slow but I haven't been to a persons home that doesn't have an HDTV. I really cannot remember the last time I visited a friend and sat in their family room and looked at a big ole' heavy 37" tv.
It took 10 years even to make 20% penetration. Most adoption has been in the last couple of years only -- it made a 50% adoption rate in mid-2010. And Blu-ray has not been adopted at anywhere near the rate of DVD.
That's with a distinct, palpable advantage over SD TV, not least being the widescreen aspect ratio, which I suspect figures into its appeal at least as much as resolution. 4K over 1080 does not represent anything like the leap from SD TVs to HDTV (much like Blu-ray over DVD vs. VHS), and the advantages it has are, as I said above, mostly for very large screens, which is a relatively niche market. Under 50", where most people will be, it's not nearly so obvious. Why would anyone be in a rush to run out and buy an expensive new TV when they just bought one, especially when there's hardly any content, if any at all, to display on it?