Study say 4K transition will be faster than HD was.

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"the new technology is predicted to reach the HDTV’s level of affordability and ubiquity — which took 15 years to fully blossom — in a leaner 10-12 years."

Sounds like it will still be a while.
 
Gosh, what an empty, full of nothing article. So 4K TVs wiil take 10-12 years to be adopted instead of 15 for HD. Is that news or insight or something? There will be a lot of upscaling going on and because the content originated in HD, it will look decent enough to make people feel good about their new TV purchase. Big events like the Super Bowl will be shot and broadcast in 4K (maybe for a pay-per-view charge) but most of broadcast material will be HD. Until compression gets way better at the transmission level 720p/1080i will be around for a long time. Like many who purchased a nice 1080p set, I will get a 4k TV when my 1080p set craps out. Maybe in 10-12 years. :)
 
Most of TV viewers do not care about 4K. Broadcasters just suffered switch from analogue to digital. With dwindling TV add revenue I doubt 4K will be any time soon. Usually broadcast is on 15-20 year upgrade cycle due to cost of these investments. Most people bought HDTV sets not because of better quality, but flat screens take less space. The switch from HD to 4K doesn't address the same issue, so I doubt households will be shelling out money for an upgrade, they don't see necessary.
 
txdp said:
Broadcast isn't where 4k will catch on
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^this. As Bassman2003 and snowblindfilm have stated, there are many reasons broadcast won't go 4K anytime soon (if ever). Streaming, on the other hand, is a different story. YouTube, Netflix, Hulu, etc., went from sub-SD quality (YT started out at 240p IIRC) to HD (and eventually UHD) in 5 or 6 years and without any of the insanity that surrounded the analog to digital (and piggy-backing SD to HD) switch that broadcast went through. Streaming is the distribution future of 4K and everyone from Sony to Netflix to Samsung to Comcast has already announced various plans and/or partnerships for it.


-Andrew
 
I don't see the reason why 4K should catch on in anything other than cameras. HD has scaled nicely from smartphones to first run threaters.

What I want may be far off in the future but I'll share anyway. I want a screen with a high dynamic range, wide color gamut and individual pixels that contain both ink-like properties and light emitting diodes. Where each pixel acts independently based on the available light of the surrounding environment. One pixel could be blasting at full brightness while the one next to it could be at a non-emitting ink-like state. Basically eliminating glare completely and allowing for a completely uniform picture no matter the lighting environment.
 
Sony, Samsung, LG etc now have 4K in some of their smartphones and I see the Seiki 39" Class LED 4K/2K Ultra HDTV for $379.99 after rebate at Tiger Direct so 4K will be big in the consumer market much sooner than 10-12 years IMHO.
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Most of TV end users don't really care about quality difference, and as far as online delivery, a lot of households are still on dial up or slow DSL connection. At least in Canada and US a big chunk of population lives in remote enough areas, where they do not even get high speed internet. And I doubt there is much demand to watch 4K footage on a smart phone or a tablet. And I see some advantages of shooting 4K ( I am actually thinking of GH4), but let's be honest- 4K is not going to be hitting main street anytime soon.
 
snowblindfilm said:
but let's be honest- 4K is not going to be hitting main street anytime soon.
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Soon is a relative term but I don't think anyone in this thread is saying that it will be wall to wall 4K by 2016. All the article in the OP speculates is that in the next 10-12 years 80% of households in the US will have at least one 4K TV set (a number which took HD TVs 15yrs to hit). I don't think that's an unrealistic time frame given the speed of technology and the current state of things. No analog to digital broadcast hurdle. No tube to flat panel display hurdle. No SD to HD adjustment hurdle (aspect ratio, 720 vs 1080, etc.,). Analog and mechanical hurdles are largely gone too so everything from our cameras to our phones to our TVs are advancing at a Moore's Law pace. The PS4 and Xbox One can already receive 4K streams and output 4K video onto a 4K TV. Comcast, which is a content producer as well as cable provider and ISP, is already demoing 4K streaming and I'm sure once 4K screens hit a high enough yield rate TV makers will start ramping down HD TV production (just like they did with SD TVs).

We are certainly still in early adaptor stages but I agree with the basic premise of the article that 4K adoption will come faster than HD adoption did.
 
"but let's be honest- 4K is not going to be hitting main street anytime soon."

I live on Eastern Long Island, I have a friend who is a major installer to the rich and famous. The $16,000 4k LG 85 is the must have toy of the coming summer season. These are the people who run the major media companies and financial institutions. So if there is truth to the trickle down theory, next Black Friday is 4k all day.

Yes soon.
 
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