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    Coronavirus Impact
    #1
    Senior Member thefilmaddict's Avatar
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    Hi guys,

    I know that many of you are from all over the world. Here in CT, Coronavirus (covid-19) has just started disrupting life here. My kid is home from school and work has slowed down. Luckily, everyone in my family is healthy. I wish the best for all of you.

    I recently went to my local grocery store and had a surreal experience. I made a short little video documenting it:

    https://youtu.be/C7YL0lENcMk
    What do you mean funny? Like a clown? Do I amuse you?! Huh??!!


     

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    The impact is going to be overwhelming. I am with my octogenarian in-laws in Nevada. The governor just basically shut down all business in the State, other than essential businesses (fire, police, grocery, gas). All schools, all casinos, and all the major Strip hotels are closed. He urged self quarantine, he said "this is not the time for sleepovers and birthday parties, this is the time to aggressively stop the spread of this virus."

    So, yeah, we're still not quite at Italy's and Spain's full quarantine status yet, but I imagine it's only a week or so away.


     

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    Tonight's Florida update - 216 positives (from 170 yesterday, although that was in the morning ... still a big jump), 7 dead (all elderly and in poor health, except the last one with no details yet given). Restaurants are open only for take-out and deliveries. Grocery stores are working shorter hours and now have a police car upfront for security. Miami beaches are semi-closed to large crowds. Bars/night clubs/gyms are closed for the time being.

    On the other hand, there are plenty of spring-breakers making the scene.


     

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    Quote Originally Posted by DLD View Post
    Tonight's Florida update - 216 positives (from 170 yesterday, although that was in the morning ... still a big jump), 7 dead (all elderly and in poor health, except the last one with no details yet given)...
    Big spike in Florida overnight, up to 314. As predicted, South Florida (Miami-Dade with 76, Broward with 80 and Palm Beach with 19) is now outpacing the rest of the state. That's roughly 50% of the positives from about 30% of the population. 73 is travel related, 50 from contact with the confirmed cases.


     

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    Our county has declared a lockdown at midnight for 3 weeks. People in our area have been cool. Grocery stores have not been raided. Being a modest size town, I don't think people have as much of a feeling of apprehension that might be felt in a dense urban area.


     

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    #7
    Senior Member Eric Coughlin's Avatar
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    I went to the grocery store in Atlanta a couple days ago. It was slightly busy, but not terribly so. I've certainly had much longer lines around Thanksgiving or other random times before. The toilet paper aisle was empty, bread was low but there was some, I think there was some off brand water left but not the good stuff (Desani), and most of the rest of the grocery store was pretty well stocked. I filled my cart with a few months full of food, but I'll probably be back to the store before long to get more fresh food. I've been on a health food kick lately for unrelated reasons, lost close to 10 lbs so far (got a spare tire to get rid of), but in the midst of Coronavirus, I'm now getting the added benefit of a likely better immune system. It's actually been at least a few months since I've been sick, while I've typically gotten sick once every perhaps three months through my life.

    I also went to the gun store and got some more ammo. The gun store was hopping with business, guns flying off the shelves. Signs saying limits of one box of ammo per person but they let me buy the six I asked for. Merica.

    One thing I don't understand about hoarding bottled water is, are people expecting the water at their home to stop working? And if so, isn't it a lot cheaper to start stock piling water from home rather than buying a bunch of bottled water? It's like, the apocalypse is coming, but better be stocked up on some posh water options cause we don't be drinking none of that sink water. Good God if we have to drink rain water than we're all doomed, cause only very non-posh people would ever consider that.

    I've seen a few people wearing masks but not many. Roads still seem have a pretty ordinary number of cars on them.

    I made the mistake of adding salt to my canned green beans. Never again.



    Throwing out some stats...

    Death rate for reported Coronavirus cases for age 10-39 is .2% (source: https://www.latimes.com/california/s...y-young-person). Now let's imagine that only 10% of the infected get tested and reported, that brings the actual death rate down to .02%. Estimating that 37.5% Americans are 10-39, so out of 330 million Americans, 124 million are 10-39. If every single one of the 124 million 10-39 year olds got Coronavirus over the course of a year, at a .02% death rate, that's 24,800 deaths.

    Comparing to car accidents, in the U.S. there are about 38,000 car accidents deaths per year. If the 10-39 range is again 37.5% of car accident deaths, that puts that age bracket at 14,225 deaths per year. 24,800 / 14,225 = 1.74. Which means, in a worst case scenario where literally every American got infected with the Coronavirus over the course of one year, a 10-39 year old would be 1.74 times more likely to die from Coronavirus that year than from a car accident. Given that Coronavirus will likely last for around a year while car accidents have been occurring for the past over 100 years and will continue for some time (self driving cars perhaps changing that in the future), a person who spends 80 years in a car would then be 46 times more likely to die in a car accident over the course of their life.

    The mortality stats from that article were as follows, so can be adjusted for the different ages.

    ages 10-19: 0.2%
    ages 20-29: 0.2%
    ages 30-39: 0.2%
    ages 40-49: 0.4%
    ages 50-59: 1.3%
    ages 60-69: 3.6%
    ages 70-79: 8%
    80 and over: 14.8%
    Last edited by Eric Coughlin; 03-17-2020 at 10:24 PM.


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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric Coughlin View Post
    I also went to the gun store and got some more ammo. The gun store was hopping with business, guns flying off the shelves. Signs saying limits of one box of ammo per person but they let me buy the six I asked for. Merica.
    I've heard a lot of small towns all over the USA were stocking up on ammo and liquor.


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    #9
    Resident Preditor mcgeedigital's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NorBro View Post
    I've heard a lot of small towns all over the USA were stocking up on ammo and liquor.
    Not just "small" towns. ;)
    Matt Gottshalk - Director/ Dp/ and Emmy Award Winning Editor
    Producer/Director, Digital Creative for the United States Postal Service


     

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    If it's made from paper, rice or pasta it just 'aint there

    Chris Young

    Local Aldi
    IMG_20200307_133111[1].jpg

    Local Woolworths
    IMG_20200314_153623[1].jpg


     

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