BobDiaz
12-17-2005, 03:12 PM
I was cleaning out some of the stacks of "stuff" (OK, junk) that seem to pile up around my house. Buried in one of the stacks was a Fry's Ad from the LA Times, dated Friday, August 22, 1997. I won't list everything, but here's some of the things on sale about 8 years ago:
Seagate 2.5 GB FATA-2 Hard Drive $164, limit one per customer
IBM 4.3 GB EIDE Hard Drive, 5,400 RPM $259
Packard Bell R501 computer, 200 MHz MMX, 2.1 GB Hard Drive, 32 MB EDO RAM, $1,349
16 MB Memory, 64ns,168 pin DIMM, $54.95
OK, what does an 8 year old Fry's Ad have to do with long term P2 Storage? Plenty, just compare the 1997 IBM 4.3 GB EIDE Hard Drive, 5,400 RPM $259 with a 2005 Maxtor External 300GB USB 2.0 drive for around $250 (today's price) and you'll see that hard drives increased in size roughly 70x. That comes to about a 1.7 times increase per year.
Using today's prices, here is what it would cost to store your P2 Video files on a 300GB USB Drive: (The price varies, from $300 at Best Buy to $230 at PC Mall; so I'll use $250 for the cost estimate.)
DVCPRO HD (at maximum data rate): Requires about 60GB per hour, 5 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $50 per hour.
DVCPRO 50 or 720@30p: Requires about 30GB per hour, 10 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $25 per hour.
720@24p: Requires about 24GB per hour, 12.5 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $20 per hour.
DV: Requires about 15GB per hour, 20 Hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $12.50 per hour.
Price comparisons become somewhat complicated because it all depends on how we want to compare things. Still, the one thing I can say for sure is that the price per GB of External Hard Drive Storage will be less every year. Back in August 22, 1997,you would pay around $60 per GB of hard drive storage and that price does NOT include an external box, power supply, or high speed interface. Today, the Maxtor I used for my example costs $0.83 per GB and includes an external box, power supply, AND high speed USB 2.0 interface.
You can look at this one of two ways: (1) For about the same cost as the year before, new hard drives increase their storage by around 1.7 times every year. (2) The price per GB of storage is divided by 1.7 every year.
Either way you look at it, using a Removable External Hard Drive for long term P2 video storage is or will become very practical. Here is a rough estimate of what the storage costs would be //today//1 year from now//2 years from now//3 years from now:
DVCPRO HD (at maximum data rate) per hour: //$50//$30//$18//$11
DVCPRO 50 or 720@30p per hour: //$25//$15//$9//$6
720@24p per hour: //$20//$12//$7//$5
DV per hour: //$13//$8//$5//$3
(All amounts less than $1 were rounded up to the next dollar amount.)
Will some production companies find it practical to store their P2 video data on an external removable hard drive now or a year from now; I believe the answer is yes. What about 2 or 3 years from now? IF no other storage system comes along, the answer is yes, but with Blu-Ray coming, an even better, more cost effective system could be in use 2 or 3 years from now. So even if you record at the maximum data rate, figure that you'll spend $11 OR LESS per hour of storage 3 years from now.
Video Tape's days are coming to a close.
Bob Diaz
Seagate 2.5 GB FATA-2 Hard Drive $164, limit one per customer
IBM 4.3 GB EIDE Hard Drive, 5,400 RPM $259
Packard Bell R501 computer, 200 MHz MMX, 2.1 GB Hard Drive, 32 MB EDO RAM, $1,349
16 MB Memory, 64ns,168 pin DIMM, $54.95
OK, what does an 8 year old Fry's Ad have to do with long term P2 Storage? Plenty, just compare the 1997 IBM 4.3 GB EIDE Hard Drive, 5,400 RPM $259 with a 2005 Maxtor External 300GB USB 2.0 drive for around $250 (today's price) and you'll see that hard drives increased in size roughly 70x. That comes to about a 1.7 times increase per year.
Using today's prices, here is what it would cost to store your P2 Video files on a 300GB USB Drive: (The price varies, from $300 at Best Buy to $230 at PC Mall; so I'll use $250 for the cost estimate.)
DVCPRO HD (at maximum data rate): Requires about 60GB per hour, 5 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $50 per hour.
DVCPRO 50 or 720@30p: Requires about 30GB per hour, 10 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $25 per hour.
720@24p: Requires about 24GB per hour, 12.5 hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $20 per hour.
DV: Requires about 15GB per hour, 20 Hours on a 300GB USB Drive, around $12.50 per hour.
Price comparisons become somewhat complicated because it all depends on how we want to compare things. Still, the one thing I can say for sure is that the price per GB of External Hard Drive Storage will be less every year. Back in August 22, 1997,you would pay around $60 per GB of hard drive storage and that price does NOT include an external box, power supply, or high speed interface. Today, the Maxtor I used for my example costs $0.83 per GB and includes an external box, power supply, AND high speed USB 2.0 interface.
You can look at this one of two ways: (1) For about the same cost as the year before, new hard drives increase their storage by around 1.7 times every year. (2) The price per GB of storage is divided by 1.7 every year.
Either way you look at it, using a Removable External Hard Drive for long term P2 video storage is or will become very practical. Here is a rough estimate of what the storage costs would be //today//1 year from now//2 years from now//3 years from now:
DVCPRO HD (at maximum data rate) per hour: //$50//$30//$18//$11
DVCPRO 50 or 720@30p per hour: //$25//$15//$9//$6
720@24p per hour: //$20//$12//$7//$5
DV per hour: //$13//$8//$5//$3
(All amounts less than $1 were rounded up to the next dollar amount.)
Will some production companies find it practical to store their P2 video data on an external removable hard drive now or a year from now; I believe the answer is yes. What about 2 or 3 years from now? IF no other storage system comes along, the answer is yes, but with Blu-Ray coming, an even better, more cost effective system could be in use 2 or 3 years from now. So even if you record at the maximum data rate, figure that you'll spend $11 OR LESS per hour of storage 3 years from now.
Video Tape's days are coming to a close.
Bob Diaz